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State of Alaska 'Opinion Counts' Survey Methodology

Survey conducted 6/14/07 - 6/15/07

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Methodology

This survey was fielded June 14 & 15, 2007 as part of the Hays Research Group Alaska Statewide Opinion Counts Survey.  401  respondents were interviewed.  The margin of error for the data collected is +/- 4.9 % for a 401 response survey for the data analyzed in its entirety with a 95% confidence level; meaning that we can be 95% sure that if every resident of the State was actually surveyed, the results would vary by no more than 4.9% in either direction.  The survey sample used was a computer generated random list derived from a database of all households within the State of Alaska with working telephone numbers who have at least one member who has voted in at least two of the last four statewide elections. The sample frame was designed to accurately reflect the actual population percentages.
Respondents were screened to confirm they were over 18 and each household was attempted at least four times over a period of several days to account for non-response bias. Data was analyzed utilizing SPSS Quancept Software.  Interviews were conducted by trained staff with on-site supervision utilizing state of the art computer assisted telephone interviewing (CATI).  Random interviews were monitored to assure quality control measures were followed.  Dialing results were analyzed daily to assure statistically accurate distribution of call disposition in order to account for “non-response” variables.

Question 1
I am going to read you a short list of public figures and entities, please tell me if you feel positive, negative or neutral about each.
Please tell me if you feel positive, neutral, or negative about Mark Begich.  (If Positive -> Very Positive or Somewhat Positive, If Negative -> Very Negative of Somewhat Negative)
Very Positive 104/401 26%
Somewhat Positive 84/401 21%
Neutral 83/401 21%
Somewhat Negative 37/401 9%
Very Negative 35/401 9%
Don't Know / Refused 58/401 14%


Question 2


Please tell me if you feel
positive, neutral, or negative about Sarah Palin.  (If Positive -> Very Positive or Somewhat Positive, If Negative -> Very Negative of Somewhat Negative)
Very Positive 211/401 53%
Somewhat Positive 113/401 28%
Neutral 46/401 11%
Somewhat Negative 17/401 4%
Very Negative 3/401 1%
Don't Know / Refused 11/401 3%


Question 3

Please tell me if you feel
positive, neutral, or negative about Don Young.  (If Positive -> Very Positive or Somewhat Positive, If Negative -> Very Negative of Somewhat Negative)
Very Positive 74/401 18%
Somewhat Positive 88/401 22%
Neutral 59/401 15%
Somewhat Negative 74/401 18%
Very Negative 94/401 23%
Don't Know / Refused 12/401 3%


Question 4

Please tell me if you feel positive, neutral, or negative about Ted Stevens.  (If Positive -> Very Positive or Somewhat Positive, If Negative -> Very Negative of Somewhat Negative)
Very Positive 103/401 26%
Somewhat Positive 80/401 20%
Neutral 62/401 15%
Somewhat Negative 93/401 23%
Very Negative 53/401 13%
Don't Know / Refused 10/401 2%


Question 5
Please tell me whether, given the recent corruption investigations and the VECO bribery scandal, is it more likely or less likely that you will vote for the following individuals in the next election, or if it makes no difference at all: Ted Stevens
A lot more likely 38/401 9%
Somewhat more likely 24/401 6%
Somewhat more unlikely 57/401 14%
A lot more unlikely 99/401 25%
No Difference 160/401 40%
Don't Know / Refused 23/401 6%


Question 6
Please tell me whether, given the recent corruption investigations and the Veco bribery scandal, is it more likely or less likely that you will vote for the following individuals in the next election, or if it makes no difference at all:  Don Young
A lot more likely 26/401 6%
Somewhat more likely 28/401 7%
Somewhat more unlikely 40/401 10%
A lot more unlikely 112/401 28%
No Difference 170/401 42%
Don't Know / Refused 25/401 6%


Question 7
Published news reports have identified former State Senator Ben Stevens, son of U.S. Senator Ted Stevens as one of the legislators referenced in the Bill Allen/Veco indictment as receiving bribes. Recent news accounts have confirmed that the FBI is investigating Senator Ted Steven's home remodel which was undertaken by Veco. Do these alleged ties to Veco unfavorably influence your opinion of Ted Stevens?
Yes 197/401 49%
No 180/401 45%
Don't Know / Refused 24/401 6%


If you would like to have a question included in the next 'Opinion Counts' survey, or to get more information on our Hays Research Group's public opinion research services, please don't hesitate to contact us. Two different programs will be offered in 2007: an Anchorage Municipal program conducted in the months leading up to the Anchorage Municipal election on April 3rd, and a Statewide program which will be conducted monthly year-round.  This is a unique opportunity to include your own questions in each of the polls for a minimal cost by utilizing Hays Research Group's new Opinion Counts program.  Space is limited, so reserve your questions soon!We invite you to explore this website and learn more about Opinion Counts, or contact Hays Research group for more information.
   

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