State of Alaska, US Senate Survey Results


Survey conducted 10/25/10-10/26/10


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Hays Research has chosen a selection of questions from a series of scientific surveys conducted in the State of Alaska among likely voters to release to the public. Four separate surveys were conducted on the following dates; October 5th-6th, 17th-18th, 21st-22nd, and 25th-26th of 2010. We asked about the US Senate Candidates and the US Senate Race.  Each of the four surveys had a sample size of n=500 and a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. Likely voters were surveyed in a live telephone interview, and were defined as having voted in at least two of the last four statewide elections. A more detailed methodology can be found below the survey results on this page.

Survey Results


Question 1 - US Senate Head to Head

Answered by 500 out of 500

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were (ROTATE NAMES) Joe Miller, Scott McAdams, Frederick Haase, Tim Carter, Ted Gianoutsos, or another candidate you have to write in, for whom would you vote or are you undecided?


10/6/10
10/18/10
10/22/10
10/26/10
Joe Miller
31%
23%
26%
23%
Scott McAdams
16%
25%
25%
29%
Frederick Haase
1%
0%
1%
0%
Tim Carter
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ted Gianoutsos
0%
0%
0%
0%
Write In Candidate
31%
32%
31%
34%
Undecided
22%
19%
17%
13%
Other
0%
0%
0%
0%





Question 2 - Scott McAdams Pos/Neg

Answered by 500 out of 500

I would like to read you a very short list of Alaskan individuals and groups, can you please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of each. If you haven't heard of the individual or don't know enough about that person to have an impression just say so:

Scott McAdams

(and is that very favorable/unfavorable or somewhat favorable/unfavorable?)


10/6/10
10/18/10
10/22/10
10/26/10
Very Favorable
11%
21%
19%
26%
Somewhat Favorable
22%
31%
28%
29%
Somewhat Unfavorable
14%
15%
15%
12%
Very Unfavorable
9%
10%
12%
11%
No Opinion
25%
17%
21%
16%
Never Heard
19%
5%
5%
5%
Refused
0%
0%
1%
0%






Question 3 - Joe Miller Pos/Neg

Answered by 500 out of 500

I would like to read you a very short list of Alaskan individuals and groups, can you please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of each. If you haven't heard of the individual or don't know enough about that person to have an impression just say so:

Joe Miller

(and is that very favorable/unfavorable or somewhat favorable/unfavorable?)


10/6/10
10/18/10
10/22/10
10/26/10
Very Favorable
20%
16%
19%
17%
Somewhat Favorable
20%
14%
13%
9%
Somewhat Unfavorable
13%
12%
11%
8%
Very Unfavorable
38%
51%
52%
60%
No Opinion
7%
7%
5%
4%
Never Heard
2%
0%
1%
1%
Refused
0%
0%
1%
0%






Question 4 - Lisa Murkowski Pos/Neg

Answered by 500 out of 500

I would like to read you a very short list of Alaskan individuals and groups, can you please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of each. If you haven't heard of the individual or don't know enough about that person to have an impression just say so:

Lisa Murkowski

(and is that very favorable/unfavorable or somewhat favorable/unfavorable?)


10/6/10
10/18/10
10/22/10
10/26/10
Very Favorable
26%
30%
28%
32%
Somewhat Favorable
27%
25%
25%
23%
Somewhat Unfavorable
18%
21%
19%
20%
Very Unfavorable
23%
19%
22%
22%
No Opinion
5%
4%
5%
3%
Never Heard
0%
0%
0%
0%
Refused
0%
0%
1%
0%





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Survey Methodology


This survey was fielded on October 5th-6th, 17th-18th, 21st-22nd, and 25th-26th of 2010 as part of a series of statewide surveys to measure attitudes towards candidates and races in the 2010 Alaska General Election among likely voters (defined as having voted in at least two of the last four local or statewide elections).  500 likely Alaskan voters were interviewed for each of the four surveys. The margin of error for the data collected is +/- 4.4 % for a 500 response survey for the data analyzed in its entirety with a 95% confidence level; meaning that we can be 95% sure that if every resident of the State of Alaska with working telephone numbers who have at least one member who has voted in at least two of the last four local or state elections was actually surveyed, the results would vary by no more than 4.4% in either direction.  
The survey sample used was a computer generated random list derived from a database of all households within the State of Alaska with working telephone numbers who have at least one member who has voted in at least two of the last four local or state elections. The sample frame was designed to accurately reflect the actual population percentages.
Respondents were screened to confirm they were over 18 and each household was attempted at least four times over a period of several days to account for non-response bias. Data was analyzed utilizing SPSS Quancept Software.  Interviews were conducted by trained staff with on-site supervision utilizing state of the art computer assisted telephone interviewing (CATI).  Random interviews were monitored to assure quality control measures were followed.  Dialing results were analyzed daily to assure statistically accurate distribution of call disposition in order to account for “non-response” variables.
For purposes of disclosure, all four of these surveys were paid for in full by the IBEW Local 1547, and the IBEW Local 1547 authorized the release of this data.

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