State of Alaska Survey Results


Survey conducted 6/21/11-6/22/11

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Hays Research has been authorized to release the following polling results done on behalf of Porcaro Communications A survey of 500 likely voters in Alaska were asked who they would vote for in a hypothetical election between Barack Obama and Sarah Palin. This survey had a sample size of n=500 and a margin of error of +/- 4.4%. Likely voters were surveyed in a live telephone interview, and were chosen from a database of Alaskan households with a member who has voted in at least two of the last four statewide elections. A more detailed methodology can be found below the survey results on this page.

Question 1 - US President head to head

Answered by 500 likely Alaskan voters

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Although it is some time from now, thinking about the election for President of the United States next year, if the election were held today and the candidates were Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Sarah Palin, for whom would you vote or are you undecided?




Obama Strong 34%
Obama Not so strong 6%
Undecided - Lean Obama 2%
Palin Strong 25%
Palin Not so strong 6%
Undecided - Lean Palin 5%
Other Candidate 7%
Undecided / Don’t Know 16%

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Survey Methodology


This survey was fielded on June 21st-22nd, 2011 as a means to measure attitudes towards candidates and races among likely Alaskan voters (defined as having voted in at least two of the last four local or statewide elections).  500 likely Alaskan voters were interviewed for each of the four surveys. The margin of error for the data collected is +/- 4.4 % for a 500 response survey for the data analyzed in its entirety with a 95% confidence level; meaning that we can be 95% sure that if every resident of the State of Alaska with working telephone numbers who have at least one member who has voted in at least two of the last four local or state elections was actually surveyed, the results would vary by no more than 4.4% in either direction.  
The survey sample used was a computer generated random list derived from a database of all households within the State of Alaska with working telephone numbers who have at least one member who has voted in at least two of the last four local or state elections. The sample frame was designed to accurately reflect the actual population percentages.
Respondents were screened to confirm they were over 18 and each household was attempted at least four times over a period of several days to account for non-response bias. Data was analyzed utilizing SPSS Quancept Software.  Interviews were conducted by trained staff with on-site supervision utilizing state of the art computer assisted telephone interviewing (CATI).  Random interviews were monitored to assure quality control measures were followed.  Dialing results were analyzed daily to assure statistically accurate distribution of call disposition in order to account for “non-response” variables.
For purposes of disclosure, this poll question was survey was paid for in full by Porcaro Communications.

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